UFC 323 Picks, Dvalishvili vs Yan Best Bets

What: UFC 323
Who: Merab Dvalishvili (c) vs Petr Yan for the UFC bantamweight title; Alexandre Pantoja (c) vs Joshua Van for the UFC  flyweight title
The place: T-Cell Enviornment, Paradise, Nevada
When: Saturday, December 6, 6:15 p.m. EDT
Watch: ESPN

A pair of title bouts are headlining the UFC 323 card. Champion Merab Dvalishvili can be trying to make historical past as he seeks to retain the UFC bantamweight title belt in opposition to Petr Yan in the primary occasion on this card.

It is the champ Dvalishvili who oddsmakers are setting because the strong -435 favourite within the UFC betting strains. You may get +325 underdog odds in the event you decide to again the challenger Yan on this betting market.

Yan is a former champion on this weight class and the No. 3 contender within the UFC bantamweight rankings.

Let’s take a look at the newest betting strains. Odds are topic to alter.

The co-main occasion is a title bout for the UFC flyweight belt between champion Alexandre Pantoja and challenger Joshua Van. It is Pantoja who’s established because the -245 favourite to win the battle.

On this article, OSB can be analyzing the fighters in every of those predominant occasion bouts, providing a predicted winner in each matchups, and in addition offering some extra notes and data concerning UFC 323 picks and UFC betting.

UFC 323 Overview: Merab Dvalishvili vs Petr Yan

This bout is a rematch. Dvalishvili defeated Yan by unanimous determination in a non-title bout throughout UFC Struggle Night time on March 11, 2023.

Fighter Highlight: Merab Dvalishvili

If he wins, the Georgian will turn into the primary fighter to efficiently defend a UFC title 4 occasions throughout a calendar 12 months. Already in 2025, Dvalishvili (21-4) has defeated Umar Nurmagomedov, Sean O’Malley, and Cory Sandhagen.

Dvalishvili initially claimed the UFC bantamweight title by dethroning O’Malley in September 2024. He is gained 14 fights in a row. Dvalishvili hasn’t tasted defeat since 2018. Different notable wins have come in opposition to Henry Cejudo and Jose Aldo.

Fighter Highlight: Petr Yan

Yan (19-5) has twice held the UFC bantamweight world title. He first claimed the belt by beating Aldo in 2020. A 12 months later, Yan laid declare to the interim world title for the division by advantage of a win over Sandhagen. Nevertheless, every time he gained the title, Yan was dethroned in his subsequent bout by a loss to Aljamain Sterling.

A efficiency he’ll always remember 💪@PetrYanUFC seems to be to turn into a champion as soon as once more Saturday at #UFC323! pic.twitter.com/jL38mYwcTx

— UFC (@ufc) December 2, 2025

His 2023 loss to Dvalishvili was the third setback in a row for Yan. He is gained three bouts since that defeat, all by unanimous determination. Amongst different frequent opponents, Yan misplaced to O’Malley, the fighter that Dvalishvili has crushed twice. Yan is 4-4 over his previous eight fights.

Prediction: Anticipate that this one will go the space. Eight of Dvalishvili’s previous 9 wins have come by way of unanimous determination. Total, 16 of his 21 profession wins have been by determination.

Merab Dvalishvili
To defeat Petr Yan at UFC 323

-435

Dvalishvili’s mixture of dynamic wrestling abilities with an engine that by no means shuts down tends to overwhelm his opponents. To make issues worse for Yan, whereas he is a succesful boxer and above-average grappler, he tends to be a gradual starter. If he will get behind on the scorecards, it is going to be tough to make up floor in opposition to his tenacious Georgian opponent.

UFC 323 Overview: Alexandre Pantoja vs Joshua Van

Pantoja has efficiently defended his UFC flyweight title 4 occasions since initially successful the belt in 2023. This would be the first title shot for Van, who’s the No. 1 contender within the division.

Fighter Highlight: Alexandre Pantoja

The Brazilian fighter is named The Cannibal, but he by no means appears to chew off greater than he can chew. Pantoja (30-5) is a big presence within the flyweight division.

The ultimate changes are accomplished! 🇧🇷@PantojaMMA is prepared for his fifth title protection at #UFC323!

[ LIVE SAT DEC 6 | 10pmET on @ESPN PPV ] pic.twitter.com/b4R7a7K5AF

— UFC (@ufc) December 2, 2025

He holds UFC flyweight information for essentially the most wins (14), most submissions (six), and most finishes (eight). He is additionally the primary male flyweight fighter to win a title battle on the age of 35 or older.

Pantoja comes into this bout driving an eight-fight win streak. It has been over 5 years since he misplaced a bout.

Fighter Highlight: Joshua Van

Van was the Fury FC flyweight champion earlier than becoming a member of UFC in 2023. He was the primary Burmese fighter ever signed by the promotion.

Van has gained 5 fights in a row. His final bout was a victory over Brandon Royval, who misplaced a title battle to Pantoja in 2023.

Prediction: Pantoja has by no means been stopped in 35 professional fights. Van possesses excellent boxing abilities, however Pantoja’s chin has handed the check in opposition to rather more skilled fighters.

Alexandre Pantoja
To defeat Joshua Van at UFC 323

-245

It is that edge in expertise that may work to Pantoja’s benefit. Van hasn’t confronted a grappler who’s as gifted at gaining submissions as Pantoja. Pantoja will win this battle, and do not be shocked if it ends early.

Enhance Your UFC Picks

Earlier than getting your wagers down on UFC 323, do not forget to take a look at the finest UFC betting odds to make sure you are getting the very best bets accessible. You can too use sportsbook opinions 2025 to discover a betting website to service your wants in UFC betting picks. And in the event you’re new to the world of on-line sports activities betting, do not fret about being in over your head. There are many how-to suggestions you could peruse in our helpful sports activities betting information.