The Steelers are 3-point favorites versus the Dolphins on Monday Night time Soccer
Tua Tagovailoa is 0-5 when the temperature is under 40 levels at kickoff
See the Dolphins vs Steelers odds, picks and predictions for Monday Night time Soccer, under
Week 15 on the NFL calendar closes out with the Miami Dolphins (6-7, 2-4 away) taking over the Pittsburgh Steelers (7-6, 4-3 residence). This recreation has main ramifications for each staff within the NFL playoff bracket, as Miami wants a win to maintain its slim postseason hopes alive, whereas Pittsburgh can transfer one step nearer to a division title with a victory.
On-line sportsbooks are siding with the Steelers within the newest MNF odds, however I’m avoiding the unfold market all collectively to give attention to the full. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15pm ET/5:15pm PT from Acrisure Stadium, in Pittsburgh, PA, with ESPN offering the printed protection.
Beneath, you’ll discover the newest Dolphins vs Steelers odds, plus my picks and predictions for Monday Night time Soccer.
MIA Dolphins vs PIT Steelers Odds
Earlier than making any Monday Night time Soccer wager, you’ll want to seek the advice of the most effective soccer betting apps. Pittsburgh is at the moment favored by 3 factors, however the complete varies relying on the place you wager. FanDuel is at the moment providing a 41.5-point over/below, however in the event you’re occupied with betting the below go to Bet365 the place the full at the moment sits at 42.5.
Per the NFL public betting percentages, 4 of the Steelers final six contests have fallen wanting the full, whereas 66.7% of their residence video games have gone below the quantity for the reason that begin of 2021.
Odds as of Dec. 14. New clients can declare the DraftKings promo code and get a bonus to wager on MNF.
Dolphins vs Steelers Damage Report
There are two headlines that dominate the remainder heading into this recreation. Let’s begin with the harm scenario. The Dolphins obtained piece of stories earlier within the week as star working again Devon Achane is wholesome sufficient to play. Achane left final week’s win over the Jets with a rib problem, however is off the harm report all collectively.
Achane’s presence is essential, as a result of it might probably assist cowl up Tua Tagovailoa’s chilly climate struggles – extra on that later. Miami’s RB is PFF’s primary graded runner, and leads the league in 10+ and 15+ yard rushes.
The information isn’t so good for Pittsburgh. Star move rusher T.J. Watt underwent surgical procedure for a collapsed lung earlier this week, and is unlikely to play. Tagovailoa struggles mightily below strain, so the absence of Watt and his team-leading 8 sacks will drive different Steelers like Alex Highsmith to step up alongside the defensive position.
Dolphins vs Steelers Picks and Predictions
The opposite main headline for this matchup is Tua’s chilly climate failures. He’s 0-5 in contests with a temperature under 40 levels, and the sport time forecast is asking for 19 diploma temperatures with 12-18 mph winds.
With Tagovailoa below heart, the Dolphins common lower than 17 factors per outing in sub-40 diploma temperatures. He’s solely finishing 55.6% of his throws in these circumstances, which is roughly a 15% decrease completion proportion than all of his different begins. His passer score is 30 factors larger when the temperature is above 45 levels, whereas his yards per try a full 2 yards larger.
That means factors will probably be powerful to return by on Monday, and it will likely be almost unimaginable for Miami to get a lot going offensively if Tua is below duress. Tagovailoa’s passing grade drops 29 factors when the warmth is on, whereas his 5.7% turnover worthy play proportion below strain is without doubt one of the worst marks within the NFL.
Tua Tagovailoa Strain Stats
On the opposite aspect of the ball, Miami’s protection has quietly been taking part in glorious just lately, and may be capable to stymie a 42-year-old Aaron Rodgers and the Pittsburgh offense. The Dolphins have yielded 17 factors or much less in 4 straight video games, rating ninth in EPA/play allowed throughout that stretch, and tenth in EPA/dropback allowed.
Make no mistake, the Steelers offense just isn’t the explanation they’ve a 70% likelihood to make the playoffs. Pittsburgh ranks sixteenth in EPA/play and twentieth in success price, properly under the highest Tremendous Bowl 60 odds contenders.
Rodgers in the meantime, ranks nineteenth in EPA/drop again and twenty sixth in success price, under names like Geno Smith, Justin Fields and Spencer Rattler, a trio of quarterbacks who’ve all misplaced their beginning jobs.
This recreation profiles as an below wager and I anticipate the full to dip earlier than kickoff. Act now, in case it falls under the important thing variety of 41.
