Final UFC Macau Predictions & Picks for Song vs. Figueiredo Card

Home » Final UFC Macau Predictions & Picks for Song vs. Figueiredo Card

The UFC returns to Macau with a 13-fight card on Might 30

Rising bantamweight contender Track Yadong headlines the occasion towards former flyweight champion Deiveson Figueiredo

See the UFC Struggle Night time picks, predictions and odds for Track vs. Figueiredo and extra

Following a one-event stint on the Meta Apex, the UFC is again on the street and returns to Macau for the primary time in 2026. China native Track Yadong headlines the occasion towards former flyweight champion Deiveson Figueiredo in his first combat since dropping to Sean O’Malley at UFC 324.

Track returns to combat in his dwelling nation for the primary time since 2018, when he confronted Vince Morales in his third UFC outing in Beijing. The matchup with Figueiredo will probably be Track’s fifth UFC predominant occasion and his fourth time dealing with a former champion.

Figueiredo can be coming off a loss and is simply 1-3 in his final 4 outings. ‘Deus Da Guerra’ is coming off a lopsided unanimous determination loss to Umar Nurmagomedov at UFC 324. The loss dropped him to only 3-4 since transferring as much as bantamweight in 2023.

Take a look at the UFC Macau picks, predictions and odds for all six predominant card bouts under.

UFC Struggle Night time Foremost Card Odds

Odds as of Might 27, 2026, on DraftKings Sportsbook. Seize a DraftKings promo code or try the perfect UFC betting apps for 2026.

Because the youthful fighter competing on dwelling soil, Track predictably opened as a sizeable favourite over Figueiredo. Track at present sits at -600, giving him an 85 % implied win likelihood. Figueiredo comes again at +400, an implied win likelihood of simply 20 %.

UFC Macau Picks: Track Yadong Technique of Victory

Getting a former champion at +400, no matter age, can at all times be tempting, particularly when his opponent is simply 1-2 in his final three fights. However on this case, Track and Figueiredo are two fighters trending in fully reverse instructions, which is to be anticipated given their 10-year age distinction.

Figueiredo’s age is starting to indicate up in his latest fights, none of which have been inspiring. The once-feared striker has seen his quantity fall off a cliff in latest outings, touchdown simply 37 mixed important strikes in his final three fights. In his most up-to-date outing, Figueiredo landed simply eight important strikes whereas trying zero takedowns in a unanimous determination loss to Umar Nurmagomedov.

Figueiredo will look to wrestle, which has at all times been Track’s Achilles heel. But, his takedown effectivity has additionally declined through the years, whereas Track’s defensive wrestling has dramatically improved. The 28-year-old has defended 28 of 33 takedowns shot on him in his final six fights.

Figueiredo has been notoriously sturdy all through his profession, dropping by end solely 3 times in his 32-fight profession. Regardless, the velocity and energy distinction will probably be an excessive amount of for him at this level in his profession, particularly over 25 minutes. Track will probably be itching for his first end in three years together with his dwelling crowd behind him and can turn out to be the primary bantamweight to cease ‘Figgy.’

UFC Macau Picks: Zhang Mingyang Technique of Victory

Like Track, Zhang Mingyang finds himself in a good matchup to rebound from a troublesome loss within the co-main occasion. Zhang takes on longtime ranked contender Alonzo Menifield 9 months after struggling his first UFC loss in a predominant occasion to Johnny Walker.

Whereas Zhang was beating Walker till his leg gave out halfway by means of the second spherical, the very fact stays that he has but to win a combat that has gone previous the primary spherical. Savvy veterans who can survive his early onslaught will exploit that, however Menifield shouldn’t be one in every of them. ‘Atomic’ is simply 2-3 in his final 5 fights with every of his latest losses coming by early knockout.

The 38-year-old Menifield has gutted out latest upset wins over Oumar Sy and Julius Walker, however each had extra to do together with his opponents than something spectacular he did. Menifield’s chin has failed him most of the time, organising Zhang for one more early spotlight.

UFC Macau Picks: Sergei Pavlovich Technique of Victory

Three months after profitable an uninspiring determination over Tai Tuivasa, Tallison Teixeira has a chance to shoot up the rankings with a win over former title challenger Sergei Pavlovich. Nevertheless, among the many heavyweights ranked above him, there are few matchups worse for Teixeira than Pavlovich.

Teixeira has not too long ago aligned with Alex Pereira and Glover Teixeira in Connecticut, however his placing remains to be ranges under that of Pavlovich. Regardless of towering over most of his opponents, the 6-foot-8 Brazilian has little understanding of vary and distance and continuously takes pointless injury attributable to his undisciplined guard. Teixeira remains to be simply two fights faraway from a 35-second knockout loss to Derrick Lewis.

Pavlovich has not regarded just like the knockout monster he as soon as was in years, however his boxing nonetheless rivals the perfect within the division, and he continues to indicate improved wrestling with every outing. Teixeira is likely to be seeking to take the combat to the mat after dominating Tuivasa on the bottom, however no person has taken Pavlovich down since his UFC debut in 2018.

Teixeira has a puncher’s probability, however Pavlovich is the way more expert fighter in virtually each facet of MMA. Whereas a knockout is in play given Teixeira’s unreliable chin, Pavlovich has fought with way more warning not too long ago and can take time to gauge the taller fighter’s vary. There may be an excessive amount of worth on Pavlovich’s determination prop to disregard with the passiveness he has fought with since struggling a pair of losses.

UFC Macau Picks: Kai Asakura Technique of Victory

Count on Kai Asakura to lastly gather his first UFC win in his third try. The previous RIZIN champion has had a tough begin, however he’s lastly gifted a good matchup in his pure weight class.

After dealing with a pair of grapplers, Asakura will get the placing combat he craves towards Cameron Smotherman, who has but to try a takedown within the UFC. Smotherman is simply 1-2 within the UFC and is coming off a pair of lopsided losses to Ricky Simon and Serhiy Sidey.

Smotherman is a gifted striker in his personal proper, however he’s most snug choosing his pictures on the surface whereas dictating the tempo. The final time he fought somebody with as a lot quantity and variety as Asakura, he didn’t sustain with Sidey and regarded completely out of his aspect.

Asakura’s dynamic placing has given the likes of Kyoji Horiguchi and Manel Kape suits on the toes, which is what made him so engaging to the UFC. This can be a prime buy-low spot on the Japanese striker, who will catch Smotherman’s shoddy chin in transition and get his first promotional victory in dramatic trend.

UFC Macau Picks: Jake Matthews Technique of Victory

If not for one of many worst referee performances in latest UFC historical past, Jake Matthews can be on a four-fight win streak and certain dealing with a ranked opponent. As an alternative, he attracts 38-year-old Carlston Harris, who’s stepping in on two weeks’ discover for an injured Muslim Salikhov.

Harris will probably be barely greater than Matthews and does his finest work on the bottom, the place he makes use of his lengthy limbs to fish for chokes in awkward angles. That aligns with Matthews’ greatest weak point, with 50 % of his losses coming by submission.

Nevertheless, 5 of the six fighters to beat Matthews on the bottom averaged at the very least 2.0 takedowns or 1.0 submissions per quarter-hour. Harris enters the combat averaging simply 1.46 takedowns and 0.6 submissions per quarter-hour. He has solely landed a takedown in one in every of his seven UFC bouts and has in any other case been content material to go the place the combat takes him.

If Matthews can neutralize any potential grappling menace from Harris, he could have the Guayanese at his mercy on the toes, the place he is without doubt one of the most underrated strikers within the UFC. Matthews’ footwork, quantity and velocity will probably be an excessive amount of for Harris from bell to bell.

UFC Macau Picks: Alex Perez Technique of Victory

Coming off simply his second win within the final 5 years, Alex Perez heads into enemy territory to tackle one other harmful striker, Sumudaerji. Whereas Perez has not received consecutive fights since 2020, he has a golden alternative to vary that at UFC Macau.

Sumudaerji’s size has made him a tough fighter to cope with his complete profession, however that solely applies to fights on the toes. Anybody who has confidently gotten the Tibetan on the mat has had their means with him on the bottom by exposing the gaping holes in his grappling. All however one in every of Sumudaerji’s seven skilled losses have come by submission.

Perez’s final three wins have been knockouts, however wrestling has at all times been his bread and butter. The previous All-American wrestler averages 2.21 takedowns per quarter-hour and is 4-1 within the UFC when he lands extra takedowns than his opponents.

Whereas Sumudaerji enters the combat with some momentum, using a three-fight win streak, none have been towards anybody with Perez’s all-around pedigree. Sumudaerji collected a trio of wins towards subpar wrestlers who boosted his 72 % takedown protection to seem stronger than it really is.

Backing Perez is a scary thought given his latest monitor file, however the path to victory is evident as day. All six of his UFC losses have come towards elite fighters who may out-grapple him, which Sumudaerji shouldn’t be.

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