The Arnold Palmer Invitational tees off Thursday, March fifth
Scottie Scheffler is the +295 favourite over Rory McIlroy
See my 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational picks, greatest worth bets, and the percentages to win the match
After per week the place the highest gamers opted for relaxation, it’s the third signature occasion on the 2026 PGA Tour calendar, the Arnold Palmer Invitational. This has been one thing of a private playground for Scottie Scheffler in his final 5 makes an attempt, with a pair of victories and nothing worse than a tie for fifteenth. Nonetheless, he hasn’t lifted a trophy in his final three tournaments in 2026.
Shane Lowry’s gorgeous collapse on the Cognizant Traditional led to Nico Echavarria snagging his third profession title. It was the second straight week I bagged a winner (humble brag), with Jacob Bridgeman at Riviera, and now Echavarria at PGA Nationwide, so I’m looking for extra worth this week and a 3rd straight champion!
Arnold Palmer Invitational Odds (2026)
I’m beginning my card this week with Matt Fitzpatrick, who has odds longer than the top-four gamers on the board at +2600. From 2019-2022 at Bay Hill, he did every thing however win, ripping off 4 consecutive top-10s. The 2022 U.S. Open champion’s closest name got here in 2019, the place he wound up second.
Odds as of 6:30 pm ET on Sunday, March 1st, at DraftKings. Take a look at the total record of DraftKings deposit strategies.
Final Arnold Palmer Invitational Winners
Fitzy gained the DP World Tour Championship late in 2025, and has begun 2026 with a top-10 in Phoenix, top-15 at Pebble Seashore and top-25 at Riviera. He’s fourth in strokes gained: method and fifth tee-to-green on tour this 12 months. The Englishmen has six profession top-15s round these elements, giving me nice confidence he’ll be within the combine late Sunday night.
Arnold Palmer Invitational 2026 Picks & Worth Bets
Kurt Kitayama +4300: The final time we noticed Kurt Kitayama two weeks in the past on the Genesis Invitational, he fired a scintillating last spherical 64 to wind up because the runner-up. He additionally has tasted success on the API, successful the match in 2023, and he was the 3M Open champion final summer time. In an ideal world this betting line is a bit of bit greater, however that might very properly be the case earlier than the primary shot is struck Thursday morning.
Nicolai Hojgaard +6700: It’s solely a matter of time that Nicolai Hojgaard will get into the winners circle on the primary circuit, and he got here oh so shut in Phoenix, leading to a tie for third. That was his sixth worldwide top-five since final April. Six of the final eight instances teeing it up, the Dane has been contained in the top-15, together with his T-Sixth on the Cognizant Traditional.
Michael Thorbjornsen +7600: The younger phenom has discovered himself knocking on the door for his first PGA Tour title within the final 12 months. He’s racked up 5 top-5’s, together with lacking out on a playoff on the WM Phoenix Open by a single stroke two begins in the past, like Hojgaard. The final 24 rounds on tour, no one has gained extra strokes on method photographs than Thorbjornsen.
Sahith Theegala +9600: After a really poor 2025, Sahith Theegala has gotten on observe to start the marketing campaign. He’s posted 4 top-25’s in his first 5 occasions, with a pair of top-10’s. At Bay Hill, Theegala had a tie for sixth in 2024 and T-14th in 2023. He’ll be fascinating to watch within the prime 10/20 markets.
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