After profitable the 2025 NFL Coach of the Yr Award, Mike Vrabel has the longest odds on the board to repeat
The final back-to-back winner was Joe Gibbs in 1982 and 1983
See the entire NFL Coach of the Yr odds beneath, plus my favourite choose to win the award
It’s solely been two weeks, however in case you’re something like me, then you definitely’re lacking the NFL proper now in a nasty manner. The excellent news is that there are many futures markets we will guess into. The unhealthy information is that it is going to be one other six and a half months earlier than a significant NFL recreation is performed.
In the present day we’ll have a look at the NFL Coach of the Yr odds, the place one man’s title stands out like a sore thumb. Mike Vrabel, the reigning winner of the award, is listed on the absolute backside of the board.
NFL Coach of the Yr Odds
Vrabel opened with these longest NFL Coach of the Yr odds at +10000. That’s tied with Broncos head coach Sean Payton, and slightly below Mike Macdonald, Nick Sirianni, and Andy Reid, the final three head coaches to win a Tremendous Bowl.
New Giants head coach John Harbaugh boasts the shortest value to win the award at +500, and he’s adopted by six different coaches who will both be the person in cost for the primary time, or who will likely be teaching a brand new staff.
Odds as of Feb. 23. Get the DraftKings promo code to attain a bonus to guess on NFL futures.
Why Vrabel’s Odds Are Justified
The market is down on Vrabel on this class for just a few causes. For starters, the probability of repeating is sort of non-existent. It’s occurred solely as soon as within the historical past of the award, and that was again in 1982 and 1983 when Joe Gibbs achieved the feat.
Final season was the proper storm for the Patriots. They performed not solely the simplest schedule of anybody within the NFL, however one of many softest schedules within the final quarter century. They confronted a backup quarterback or a QB that was finally benched in eight of 17 common season video games, and solely two of their opponents completed with an above .500 report.
Luck adopted them right through the AFC aspect of the playoff bracket, as they confronted two groups with decimated offensive traces (Chargers and Texans) and one other backup QB (Jarred Stitham) within the Convention Championship Sport. They have been uncovered within the Tremendous Bowl by Seattle, and can begin subsequent season exterior the top-eight favorites within the Tremendous Bowl odds.
They’ll go from the simplest schedule in 2025 to the one of many 5 hardest in 2026, and regardless of Drake Maye’s run to NFL MVP odds finalist, the offense has some important holes it must shore up in the event that they wish to return to the postseason.
New England massively overachieved this season, and whereas a 10-game enchancment over 2024 is spectacular, your entire Patriots group goes to be smacked within the face by regression in 2026, Vrabel included.
Don’t Sleep on Sean McVay
I wouldn’t guess on Vrabel to repeat with my worst enemy’s cash, however there may be one longshot candidate that I believe deserves your consideration. That’s the Rams Sean McVay, broadly thought of the most effective coach in soccer.
Regardless of the billing, McVay has gained Coach of the Yr solely as soon as again in 2017. However, his staff will once more be among the many top-three preseason favorites to win the Lombardi Trophy, and the nucleus of the Rams is returning for an additional run on the title.
McVay’s offense led the NFL in scoring, yards per recreation, success price and EPA per play, and boasted the MVP Matthew Stafford, together with arguably the sport’s finest receiver in Puka Nacua. Defensively, they have been top-10 throughout each metric, and can get a small break of their power of schedule in ’26 because of their second place NFC West end in 2025.
2025 LA Rams Offense Ranks
The Rams will face the thirteenth hardest schedule in 2026, and if they will rack up one other 13+ wins, and an NFC title within the league’s hardest division, McVay will most undoubtedly be again within the Coach of the Yr dialog the place he belongs.
Resist the urge to focus on one in all these newcomers on a buzzworthy staff like Harbaugh, Kevin Stefanski or Klint Kubiak. McVay can coach circles round these guys, and is a screaming worth on this market at +4000.
