If Sunday of NFL Wild Card Weekend is wherever close to as thrilling as Saturday’s two video games, we’re all in for fairly a deal with. However I don’t need to rely on that as my deal with this Sunday. I’m attempting to go receive my very own deal with with an NFL parlay – as a result of I wish to be self-sufficient, you realize?
I’ve finished deep dives into every of the three video games happening on Sunday, which begins with the Payments vs Jaguars and finishes with the Chargers vs Patriots, and I’ve pulled one daring decide from every sport to fill in a three-leg parlay that comes with higher than 12-1 odds. Try my favourite NFL parlay for Sunday of Wild Card Weekend under.
Wild Card Sunday NFL Parlay
The sportsbook with the most effective odds for this NFL parlay is FanDuel, who’s providing +1208. This implies a $5 wager would stand to revenue $60.42 and return $65.42.
Most different sportsbooks are itemizing this parlay only a contact longer than 11-1.
I additionally play every of those legs as straight bets, and disclose the most effective sportsbook for every leg as a single within the subsections under. Learn on for the most effective costs in addition to my data-filled breakdown for every of the three NFL parlay legs for Wild Card Sunday.
Parker Washington Continues to Breakout In opposition to Payments
Few receivers are getting into the NFL Playoffs on extra of a heater than Parker Washington. After a fairly quiet first half of the season, Washington has been an integral a part of Jacksonville’s passing assault over the second half, and has been on hearth over the past three weeks.
Parker Washington Final 3 Video games
Washington has simply hit 60 receiving yards in every of his final three video games, averaging 115.7 per sport. He truly has the second-most receiving yards within the NFL on this timeframe, only one yard shy of Puka Nacua.
The Jags WR can also be third in focused air yards per sport (128.7) and ninth in share of group targets (28.2%) in that three-game stretch. He has grow to be Trevor Lawrence’s go-to receiver, and I like him to stay that man towards a superb Payments move protection.
Whereas some are siding with Travis Etienne due to how dangerous the Payments run protection has been this season, Liam Cohen hasn’t actually prioritized working the ball when he has confronted dangerous run defenses this season. Cohen desires to throw the ball and I like them to have sufficient success doing so to ensure that Washington to get his 60+ yards.
Decide: Parker Washington 60+ receiving yards (+134 at FanDuel)
Why I Like CMC to Have Success as Receiver vs Eagles
After placing up WR1 numbers by the primary seven weeks of the season, averaging 73.7 receiving yards per sport, Christian McCaffrey cooled off a little bit of a receiver because the 49ers welcomed again George Kittle after which Brokck Purdy just a few weeks later.
Nevertheless, McCaffrey has been seeing good work as a receiver once more to shut out the season.
McCaffrey Recreation Logs Weeks 16-18
CMC lead the 49ers in targets over the ultimate three weeks, seeing 22.6% of Brock Purdy’s move makes an attempt, in addition to receptions.
Although he has not recorded 50+ receiving yards since Week 12, I like the quantity he’s seeing and consider he’ll have the ability to exploit a superb matchup on Sunday.
The Eagles enable the seventh-most receiving yards to working backs, and gave up 100+ receiving yards to each Jahmyr Gibbs and Bucky Irving this season. Whereas McCaffrey could not have the identical explosion as these two backs anymore, his artful route working will enable him to get open typically.
With George Kittle nursing an ankle damage, which we don’t know the extent of limitations, I count on Kyle Shanahan to maneuver McCaffrey across the formation to create mismatches for him.
Decide: Christian McCaffrey 50+ receiving yards (+113 at DraftKings)
Why the Chargers Can Beat the Patriots
There are three causes I just like the Chargers to tug off the upset in New England on Sunday night time:
1) The Patriots have performed such a straightforward schedule.
No group had it simpler within the common season than the Patriots. New England’s opponents mixed for a 113-176 file, which comes out to a .391 win share. The group who performed the second-easiest schedule (the Broncos) confronted opponents who mixed for a .422 win share.
The Patriots solely performed three video games towards groups who completed with successful data, they usually went 1-2 in these video games. Their solely win got here in Week 5 towards the Payments, a 23-20 victory. The 2 losses got here towards the Payments (Week 15) and Steelers (Week 3).
The Chargers didn’t play a tricky schedule both – their opponents a minimum of mixed for a .469 win share, which was fifth-easiest – however they did handle to go 4-3 towards groups with successful data. It must also be famous that a type of losses got here in Week 18 once they rested most of their starters.
2) The Patriots aren’t constructed to take advantage of LA’s largest weak point
The Chargers’ largest weak point is their incapacity to guard Justin Herbert. They permit 3.5 sacks per sport, which is tied for second-most within the NFL. However right here’s how the Patriots rank in strain stats:
2.06 sacks per sport (T22nd)
20.3% defensive strain fee (twenty fourth)
But, they blitz on 27% of their defensive passing performs, which is Twelfth-most. Ok’Lavon Chaisson and Harold Landry III merely don’t win sufficient on the sting when dashing the passer.
If New England isn’t capable of apply strain on Herbert, he’ll make them pay.
3) I belief Herbert greater than Maye proper now
The Chargers acquired some nice information with Justin Herbert’s hand damage, as he says he feels a lot better after the Week 18 relaxation, and even took snaps below middle on Wednesday – one thing he hasn’t finished since fracturing his hand. With a fairly wholesome Herbert, I feel the Chargers have the benefit at QB.
I don’t imply to take something away from the good season Drake Maye has loved, however I don’t assume he has been examined that a lot. He’s about to face an excellent Chargers protection. I’m additionally conscious that Herbert has not carried out overly nicely within the playoffs, going 0-2 and having an particularly terrible sport final yr towards the Texans, the place he threw 4 interceptions.
I feel third time’s a attraction for Herbert.
On the time of scripting this, the most effective moneyline odds accessible for the Chargers was +165 at each BetMGM and theScore Wager. I added a stay odds widget under, which is able to present you the most effective odds accessible in your area.
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